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Friday, October 8, 2010

Season 11 - Week 21

BPC Season 11 - Week 21
-----------------------

And here comes Padma!  Just 5 weeks ago back in Week 16, Padma was in 23rd place and a full 36 points out of the Top 9.  With a first place from last night, she has now pointed in 3 of those 5 weeks, and finds herself in 12th place just 11 points out of the Top 9, passing notables Chester, Sungina, Kurt and Eric along the way.  Great job Padma, ride that rush just a bit longer and you'll have yourself a ticket to the Big Show.

And what a rush it was.  She was down to about 2000 in chips and the blinds were getting big, but managed a couple of come from behind double ups to get back to a healthy stack.  Earl was fat-stacked and had a chance or two to take her out too, but chose to muck instead.  Hopefully he learned his lesson, if not from the verbal scolding that Potts gave to him, then from the fact that if you let them live when you have a chance to take them out, they may just come back and win the whole damn thing.

In the mean time, I shoved with pkt 9's, the first pocket pair I had seen since the Taft administration, and happen to run into an old friend... pkt K's.  They held up for Earl, and I was out on the Bubble.  Not just the bubble, the fkn bubble.  I hate the fkn bubble.

Outside of that, the rich got richer.  All 4 of the top 4 pointed last night.  Jeremiah got 2nd, and moves back into 2nd place.  The Hurricane got 3rd, and maintains his 5 point overall lead.  Potts got 4th and stays in 4th, and Arjan got 5th and moves down a notch to 3rd.  

Top 9 Changes:  None.

Chester's cold streak is extended to 12 weeks.  (That's almost half a season.)

With only 4 WEEKS LEFT of the season, we really are in the home stretch.  I can't think of a reliable way to figure out where the Top 9 bubble is going to land, but if we take a simplistic approach and just figure out the average points per week for the current 9th position, and extrapolate that out for the full 25 weeks, it puts us at 75 points to make it in the Top 9.  That sounds about right to me.  Everyone's projected finish is listed below.


Player     Week 21
------------------
Padma     15
Jeremiah  12
Steven     9
J Potts    6
Arjan      3
Scott      Bubble


Player     Total
----------------
Steven     90
Jeremiah   85
Arjan      79
J Potts    78
Jagu       72
KarJacked  67
Scott      66
Jeena      65
Bagu       63
- - - - - - - - -
Mike       60
Nicole     58
Padma      52
Chess      51
Sungina    49
Kurt       47
Eric       47
Judy       42
Morgan     32
Remo       28
Ruby       25
J Hall     22
Omar       21
Julius     16
Ben        10
Nisha       8
Anthony     8
RiceCake    7
Kelly       7
Guest 1     6
Guest 2     2


Here's the projected finishes, calculated by just taking everyone's avg pts/week and multiplying by 25 weeks.

Player     Projected Finish
---------------------------
Steven     107.1
Jeremiah   101.2
Arjan       94.0
J Potts     92.9
Jagu        85.7
KarJacked   79.8
Scott       78.6
Jeena       77.4
Bagu        75.0  <--- 75 pts to make Top 9
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Mike        71.4
Nicole      69.0
Padma       61.9
Chess       60.7
Sungina     58.3
Kurt        56.0
Eric        56.0
Judy        50.0
Morgan      38.1
Remo        33.3
Ruby        29.8
J Hall      26.2
Omar        25.0
Julius      19.0
Ben         11.9
Nisha        9.5
Anthony      9.5
RiceCake     8.3
Kelly        8.3
Guest 1      7.1
Guest 2      2.4




The Bubble Zone...
 

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